REFINEMENT OF HABITAT ASSOCIATION MODELS AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF PRESCRIPTIVE WETLAND MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES FOR MARSHBIRDS IN THE GREAT LAKES BASIN
 
  Launched in 1995, the Marsh Monitoring Program (MMP) is a binational, volunteer-based survey of wetland birds and amphibians that monitors inland and coastal wetlands across the Great Lakes basin. The program contributes to several national and international conservation and monitoring initiatives (e.g. Great Lakes Remedial Action Plans, SOLEC indicators, continental marsh bird monitoring development).

This proposal seeks Wildlife Habitat Canada support to complete stages 2 and 3 of an existing marshbird habitat research project. Completed in March 2001, Stage 1 was supported by WHC and enabled Bird Studies Canada to undertake complex, initial model exploration and development (Kirk et al. 2001). Using four years of standardized MMP survey data (1997-2000), representing about 1500 sample stations from across the Great Lakes basin, Stage 2 of the project involves cross-validating and refining the initial predictive models that were developed in Stage 1. Based upon these results, prescriptive wetland habitat management guidelines will be produced and made available to wetland managers.

The following will be completed:

1) Evaluate and Refine Habitat Association Models: We will use additional years of MMP data (spanning from 1997-2000) to evaluate the predictive capabilities of our current marshbird habitat association models. In so doing, we will evaluate how temporal variation in year-specific predictive models influences the predictive precision of any given year-specific model. After accounting for year-to-year variation, the models will be refined and habitat preferences of both individual and suites of marshbird species will be quantitatively defined.

2) Develop and Produce Wetland Habitat Guidelines for Marshbirds: Based upon the above, the end result will be the development of model-derived optimal prescriptive habitat management guidelines for marshbird species and species assemblages in the Great Lakes basin.

3) Disseminate Project Results: Results of the research will be submitted for publication in the scientific peer-reviewed literature and will be presented at scientific conferences. Additional reporting tools will more broadly disseminate project results, particularly prescriptive wetland habitat management guidelines and recommendations, to wetland managers who are involved in wetland restoration, creation and/or habitat management.

For more information on this project, please contact Steve Timmermans, Aquatic Surveys Scientist, Bird Studies Canada, Port Rowan, Ontario.